Over 13 million players are expected to purchase a Nintendo Switch 2 in 2025, in accordance to a brand new report from Ampere Evaluation.
The info agency predicts that the console will transfer 32.2 million items subsequent 12 months, 51.2 million by 2027, and 104.3 million by the tip of the last decade.
It famous that whereas preliminary gross sales of the Switch 2 shall be greater “due to pent up demand from current Switch customers,” the console will see a “slower price of gross sales” by 2030.
It got here to this conclusion due to US tariffs including “a layer of uncertainty” to the Switch 2’s efficiency outlook, and there not being a “pandemic-driven surge” in gross sales like with the unique Switch.
Wanting on the total console market, Ampere Evaluation predicts that Nintendo’s {hardware} share will enhance by virtually 50% by 2027.
As for standing towards different gaming handhelds just like the Steam Deck and the PlayStation Portal, the info agency mentioned these gadgets weren’t “a big menace to Switch 2 adoption”.
“[These] are area of interest in phrases of gross sales and are sometimes priced considerably greater than Nintendo’s new console, whereas providing a special expertise,” it defined.
The truth is, Ampere Evaluation predicts that Switch 2 gross sales will surpass the lifetime gross sales of “the whole PC gaming handheld class” in its launch 12 months.
For instance, it highlighted how “56% of Steam Deck house owners additionally use a Nintendo Switch” however solely “1.3% of Switch house owners take into account the Steam Deck to be their major console system”.
As for Switch 2 software program, Ampere Evaluation expects new titles to symbolize “a $7 billion to $8 billion market over the subsequent two years, rising to $10 billion in 2028”.
Very similar to the unique Switch, the Switch 2 did not launch with many day one titles. Nevertheless, the info agency emphasised how Switch 2 ‘Version’ video games and upgrades to earlier titles will encourage current Switch house owners to spend extra on the brand new console.
It additionally recognized the power of third-party content material for Switch 2, which is able to “deliver Nintendo into extra direct competitors with Sony and Xbox consoles” with blockbuster ports of titles resembling Cyberpunk 2077 and Last Fantasy 7 Remake.
Nintendo’s partnership with FromSoftware to produce The Duskbloods as a Switch 2 unique can even assist “interact part-time Switch customers” in focusing extra of their consideration on the console in contrast to PlayStation and Xbox, the agency mentioned.
Elsewhere, Ampere Evaluation instructed there was an “untapped alternative” for Nintendo to utilise in-game monetisation on its platforms.
In 2024, it held a 4% share of the console marketplace for in-game and DLC monetisation in contrast to 31% and 65% on Microsoft and Sony platforms, respectively.
It predicts that by 2027, Nintendo’s share might greater than double to 10% if the platform holder focuses its efforts on this space of its enterprise.
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